15:00 · Brighton

Monty Bennetts 18th Birthday Handicap

1m 1f 207yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 604/9
Buckland Belle silks

Mr P McNally And Partners

3yo Filly · 9-4

St Mark's Basilica - Federation (Motivator)

Edward Greatrex60%1/1Ollie Sangster
513221
8.0Going 9.0

Consistent in handicaps, opening her account at Windsor (1m) in May. Placed next 3 starts and made most of good opportunity when doubling her tally at Leicester (1m) 2 weeks ago. Rates the most solid of these now stamina is tested further.

Class Advantage

24/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/03 · mark par24/0325/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%24/03Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 82%8/06Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 83%3/07Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%22/07
Projected finish1st of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 609/2
Beryl's Girl silks

Mrs Louise Dhaliwal

3yo Filly · 9-4

Ubettabelieveit - Cherubic (Dark Angel)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%Eve Johnson Houghton70%
346617
5.0
Cheek pieces

Showed improved form equipped with first-time cheekpieces when landing a 6-runner C&D handicap under a change of tactics in June. Ran below that level following a 5 lb rise in the weights when seventh at Leicester since, though.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0927/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par25/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%13/09Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 62%25/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%4/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 5522/1
It's Life silks

Mr E A Brook

4yo Filly · 9-7

Without Parole - Havana Jane (Havana Gold)

Charlie Tucker70%1/1−7lbKathy Turner
728791
6.0

Ended 2025 on a low-key note but caused a surprise after 10 months off when shedding maiden tag at Salisbury (1m) 11 days ago, albeit going with little fluency and edging ahead late on. Not certain to be in same form on that evidence, though.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0727/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par3/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%20/07Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%30/08Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%3/10Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%25/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 583/1
Annexation silks

Northway Lodge Racing

10yo Gelding · 9-10

Wootton Bassett - Scarlet Sonnet (Invincible Spirit)

Cieren Fallon80%A W Carroll
544527
5.0Class ↓4

Veteran who was well supported and bounced back to form when second in a C&D handicap in June. Raced freely with little pace on when last of 7 back here 4 weeks ago (finished lame) but he appeals as the type to bounce back.

Class Advantage

18/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/03 · mark par18/0330/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%18/03Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%17/04Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%30/06Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%7/07
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 603/1
Port Darwin silks

Kingsley Park 42

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Australia - Porthilly (Pivotal)

Rob Hornby60%0/2C Johnston
276155
4.0Class ↓3

Doubled his tally at Hamilton (9f) in June and excuses on both starts since, undone by the lack of pace when fifth of 6 in handicap returned there (11f) 25 days ago. Bounce back not ruled out.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/048/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%30/04Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%2/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%22/06Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%11/07
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 5333/1
West Hill Rosie silks

Mrs Kate Kenyon

4yo Filly · 9-5

Bated Breath - Reachforthestars (Sea The Stars)

George Downing60%0/3J W Mullins60%
0053
4.0

Well held in a bumper/3 starts in novice/maidens and she failed to improve for switch to handicaps when down the field in a C&D contest 45 days ago. Needs to find some improvement.

Class Advantage

25/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/021/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%25/02Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 17%1/04Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 18%27/04Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 33%22/05Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%21/06
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend