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18:50 · Kempton

Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2)

1m 2f 219yStandardClass 33YO plusPOLYTRACK11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market FavTop Pick1
1/1
Church Wedding silks

Merriebelle Irish Farm Limited

Church Wedding

3yo Filly · 8-13

St Mark's Basilica - Isabel De Urbina (Lope De Vega)

Rossa Ryan80%R M Beckett60%
3
7.0

Made appeal on paper and, having been well backed, showed plenty to work on when third of 13 in maiden at this course (1m) on debut in January. Off since but she's in good hands and is bred to be suited by this longer trip. Interesting contender.

Class Advantage

14/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/01
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 2f 219y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%14/01
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
2
OR 8010/3
Atlas Mountain silks

Apple Tree Stud

Atlas Mountain

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Coulsty - Star Studded (Cadeaux Genereux)

J Mitchell60%A King60%
7033
4.0

Improved again when third of 11 in novice at Nottingham (1m) in May and backed that up when filling the same position at Windsor the following month. Up in trip as he makes all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0818/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0419/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/058/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 219y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 45%2/08Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%18/04Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%19/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%8/06
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
15/2
Cuff It silks

Phil Cunningham

Cuff It

3yo Gelding · 9-11

City Light - Tick Toch (Oasis Dream)

George Wood60%R Spencer
51
6.0

Mid-field in a strong-looking Newmarket novice (1m) on debut and stepped forward from that effort when making all in 14-runner novice at Windsor (1¼m) in June. Could make another bold bid with further progress to come.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/058/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a8/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 219y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 56%15/05Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%8/06
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
7
3/1
Cloud Forest silks

Godolphin

Cloud Forest

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Blue Point - Chapelli (Poet's Voice)

Oisin Murphy70%0/1S bin Suroor
62
5.0

Improved on debut form when second of 6 in novice at Leicester (1¼m) 22 days ago, despite still looking in need of the experience. Major player with more still to offer as he switches to all-weather.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a19/0514/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%19/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%14/07
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
9
6/1
No Ordinary Joe silks

Mrs V James

No Ordinary Joe

10yo Gelding · 9-13

Getaway - Shadow Dearg (Beneficial)

L Morris70%R Stephens60%
No form3.0Class ↓2

Still capable of fairly useful form over hurdles last season for Faye Bramley, ended a long losing run in 2½m handicap at Sandown in April. However, possibly amiss on latest outing in May. Switches to the Flat (bumper winner on debut) for new yard.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par7/0327/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par10/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par9/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par24/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par24/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 219y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%7/03Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 70%10/04Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%9/05Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%24/05
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
5
33/1
Persian Flaw silks

Mr D J Deer

Persian Flaw

3yo Filly · 8-13

Al Kazeem - Cambric (Australia)

S M Levey70%0/1D Menuisier80%
75
3.0

Hasn't made much impact in her 2 starts to date, fifth of 8 in maiden over this C&D 8 weeks ago. Will be of more appeal in handicaps.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/0510/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a10/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%14/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%10/06
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
12/1
Shadow Road silks

Newtown Anner Stud Farm

Shadow Road

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Lope De Vega - Dark Crusader (Cape Cross)

D EganJ Butler
4
5.0

Offered something to work on when fourth of 11 in novice at Newcastle (7f) on debut 40 days ago. Bred for longer trips so he could take a step forward from that first run.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/06
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 2f 219y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%26/06
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
4
40/1
Dove Tale silks

Mr G Strawbridge, Ms R Hood & Mr R Eva

Dove Tale

3yo Filly · 8-13

Study Of Man - Dyveke (Lando)

R Havlin60%J & T Gosden80%
9
2.0

Sent off at big odds (40/1) first time up and looked one for the longer term when ninth of 11 in novice at Newmarket (7f) in November. This should reveal more as she goes up in distance after 9 months off.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/11
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 219y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%1/11
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
8
4/1
Kudos Too silks

Mrs R F Greener And North Farm Stud

Kudos Too

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Aclaim - Specific Dream (Danehill Dancer)

Lewis Edmunds60%0/1W Muir & C Grassick
53
5.0

Ran to a fair level on debut and similar form when third of 6 in novice at Leicester (1¼m) 22 days ago (Cloud Forest ahead in second). Improvement required.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0614/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%13/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%14/07
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
10
Wreck It Ronnie silks

Mr Gary Gillies

Wreck It Ronnie

3yo Colt · 9-4

Zelzal - Leaf Blower (Hat Trick)

Thomas GreatrexCharlie Pike
No form3.0

€10,000 foal, Zelzal colt. Dam, US 1m winner, sister to smart US 9f-11f winner Tricky Escape, multiple Grade 3 winner. Worth a market check.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%