17:20 · Thistledown

Race 2 - Allowance

5f 110y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 595/2
Rivers Angel silks

Nana's Nest

3yo Filly · 8-3

Rivers Run Deep - Angelsmadisongrace (Graeme Hall)

Summer Pauly60%−5lbJohn Corriveau60%
532312
7.0

Class Advantage

17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/072/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/0914/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%17/07Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 67%2/09Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%14/10
Projected finish1st of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Market Fav2
OR 424/6
Dark N Dirty silks

Ruberto Racing Stable, Inc

4yo Filly · 8-9

Dark Kestrel - Buckler (Concerto)

Jose Bracho70%1/3Louis Ruberto
347231
7.0

Class Advantage

18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/098/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 67%18/09Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 7 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 14%7/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%20/06Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%2/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
4
OR 3313/2
Loco Coco silks

North Winds Racing Stable, Llc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Callide Valley - Caffeine Rush (Handsome Mike)

Mauro Cedillo60%0/4Tina Casalinova
341765
4.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/03 · mark par30/0320/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%30/03Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%7/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%1/07Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%20/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
3
OR 5513/8
Mo Swift silks

Steven De Maiolo

4yo Filly · 8-7

Drill - Mo Smart (Uncle Mo)

Luis Rivera60%1/4Michael Rone60%
62132
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/01 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a15/0110/02 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a26/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%15/01Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%10/02Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%26/02Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 0%1/09Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 86%20/07
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 5111/2
Mandalay Sky silks

Curt Arnett

3yo Filly · 8-3

Sky Kingdom - Mandalay Beach (Lonhro)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%0/7Israel Flores
153233
6.0

Class Advantage

18/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/03 · mark par18/0320/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%18/03Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%11/05Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%15/06Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%20/07
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 3616/1
Hello Evelyn silks

Deborah Keiser

4yo Filly · 8-7

Rivers Run Deep - Buttie (Angus)

Chelsey Keiser60%1/10Deborah Keiser60%
631755
4.0
Blinkers

Class Advantage

29/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/12 · mark par29/1230/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 17%29/12Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%20/04Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%15/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%1/07
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
7
OR 526/1
Stacy Ellen silks

Howlett Racing, Inc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Air Strike - Precocious (Exploit)

Victor FernandezRichard Zielinski
222146
5.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

5/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/01 · mark par5/014/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par19/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/02 · mark par30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par28/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%5/01Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%19/02Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%11/05Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%28/05
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend