19:50 · Thistledown

Race 7 - Allowance

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 712/1
Teaching Moment silks

Boots N Bikinis Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Mo Town - Jossy Do It (Proud Accolade)

Chelsey Keiser60%2/2David Wolochuk70%
151
9.0

Class Advantage

16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a16/056/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%6/07
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
2
OR 709/4
Runaway Power silks

Bryan Metz

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Higher Power - Runaway's Vision (Pollard's Vision)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%2/7Robert Cline60%
133242
8.0

Class Advantage

14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/077/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par20/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par3/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par3/11projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 80%14/07Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%28/08Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%20/10Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%3/11
Projected finish2nd of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 734/1
Mor Stormy silks

Bryan Metz

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Mor Spirit - Stormy Justice (Regal Ransom)

Jose Bracho70%0/1Robert Cline60%
283217
6.0

Class Advantage

15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/096/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par27/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par13/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/11 · mark par2/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/01 · mark par22/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par22/01projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%15/09Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%27/10Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%2/01Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%22/01
Projected finish3rd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 723/1
Biscuits 'n Gravy silks

Elkhorn Oaks, Inc

3yo Gelding · 8-5

World Of Trouble - Broadway Annierose (Stalwart)

T Houghton1/6James Jackson
162413
6.0

Class Advantage

5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/0826/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%5/08Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%18/09Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%11/05Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%2/07
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 6315/2
Skytree silks

Blazing Meadows Farm, Llc, America's Thoroughbred Investors And Hamm, Shane

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Yoshida - Callisto (Malibu Moon)

Rocco Bowen60%1/3Timothy Hamm60%
541351
5.0

Class Advantage

17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/063/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par24/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par23/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/10projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%17/06Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%5/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%24/09Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%23/10
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 676/1
Tom's Avatar silks

Blazing Meadows Farm, Llc And Hamm, Shane

3yo Gelding · 8-5

Tom's D'etat - Valley Of Mo'ara (Overanalyze)

Alexander Chavez60%Timothy Hamm60%
518143
5.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a5/0826/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par25/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par24/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par28/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 86%5/08Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%26/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%25/10Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%24/11Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%28/05
Projected finish6th of 7
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
7
OR 4616/1
Truth N Soul silks

Hmt Racing Corp

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Indy Wind - Sayitright Kat (Surf Cat)

Luis Rivera60%0/3Jeffrey Radosevich60%
146466
3.0

Class Advantage

20/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par20/1222/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/01 · mark par4/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%20/12Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%4/02Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%25/03Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%9/04
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend