17:40 · Yarmouth

Strawberry Fields Stud Nursery

5f 42yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 8211/4
Dubai Charm silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

2yo Filly · 9-9

Blackbeard - Arabic Charm (Exceed And Excel)

N Callan60%0/1R Hughes60%
2301
7.0Going 9.0Class ↓3

Blackbeard filly who improved to make a winning start to her nursery career over C&D (firm) 4 weeks ago. A 7 lb rise shouldn't prevent another bold bid.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0413/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/0519/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/068/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%26/04Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 71%13/05Pos 20 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 21%19/06Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%8/07
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav2
OR 7311/10
Dowman silks

Mr R P Jones

2yo Gelding · 9-0

Sioux Nation - Colombe (Mehmas)

Billy Loughnane80%1/3G Boughey60%
221
8.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Runner-up at Bath on his first 2 starts and made no mistake at Windsor (5f, good to firm) with a tongue tie added (retained) at the beginning of June. Off since ahead of this nursery debut.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/0429/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/041/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%5/04Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 89%29/04Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%1/06
Projected finish2nd of 5
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 7712/1
Beauty Box silks

Mr Anthony Hogarth

2yo Filly · 9-4

Space Blues - Utile (Frankel)

H Crouch60%J Tate70%
4218
6.0Class ↓3
1st Hood +1

Promise first 2 starts before finding a weak race at Ripon (6f, good to firm) last month, making all. Last of 8 in Newbury listed race since but this is more realistic. Also fitted with a first-time hood.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/044/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0517/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0625/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength84%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%15/04Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%4/05Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%25/06
Projected finish3rd of 5
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
OR 7766/1
Wait Geordie silks

R&R Partnership

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Mehmas - Miss Jingles (Exceed And Excel)

David Probert70%1/1H Palmer80%
13878
4.0

Won on debut at Bath in April before good third in the Lily Agnes at Chester's May Meeting. That form has substance but he hasn't kicked on from that in 3 subsequent runs, albeit it was the ultra-competitive Super Sprint at Newbury last time.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/046/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par18/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%5/04Pos 3 · SP 7/5 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 7/5 | Actual: 67%6/05Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%30/05Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%2/07Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 70%18/07
Projected finish4th of 5
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 757/1
Troublesome Guest silks

John Guest Racing

2yo Filly · 9-2

Kodi Bear - Trouble Afoot (Acclamation)

Tom Marquand70%G G Margarson60%
3085
3.0Class ↓4

Fair form. Not seen to best effect (not clear run 2f out) when fifth of 6 on Windsor nursery debut (6f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Tackles 5f for the first time now.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0517/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0610/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0720/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength94%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%17/06Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%20/07
Projected finish5th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend