14:45 · Catterick

Hannah Blanchard 21st Birthday Handicap

5f 212yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
2
OR 5713/2
Barmyblade silks

Barmyblades

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Kodiac - Maroubra (Lawman)

Sean Kirrane60%0/3T D Easterby70%
082101
8.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Going through a good spell at the moment, winning 2 of his last 3 starts, including over C&D 2 weeks ago. This sharp 6f suits him well and can make another bold bid.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/0528/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 8%19/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%17/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%14/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%22/07
Projected finish1st of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav3
OR 585/2
Miss Rainbow silks

The Outrageous Partnership

5yo Mare · 9-11

Holy Roman Emperor - Allegrina (Barathea)

Connor Beasley60%0/1Miss Tracy Waggott60%
210334
6.0Going 8.0
Visor

Won over 5f at Thirsk in June and a couple of decent placed efforts following month. Not quite in the same form turned out quickly back at Thirsk 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/055/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%11/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%26/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%24/07
Projected finish2nd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 593/1
Captain Cess silks

Mrs P Goodwin

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Profitable - Artisanne (Mastercraftsman)

Zak Wheatley60%1/2D Carroll
406231
7.0Going 10.0

Went close on Chepstow reappearance (final start for Adrian Wintle) before getting off the mark at the second attempt for this yard at Thirsk 19 days ago in ready fashion. That form has already been boosted and big shout off 4 lb higher.

Class Advantage

19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/071/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par23/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%19/07Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 55%23/10Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%15/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%16/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 564/1
Call Glory silks

Mr Ian James Christelow

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Soldier's Call - La Perla (Sinndar)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%−5lbIan Williams
235622
6.0Class ↓4

Largely consistent since winning twice at Southwell in January, going close at Salisbury 2 weeks ago. Should go well again.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/049/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par25/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%25/04Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%19/05Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%25/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%21/07
Projected finish4th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
Top Pick1
OR 5117/2
Battenburg Belle silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-0

Inns Of Court - Fainleog (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Jason Hart60%0/3R Menzies
222153
7.0Going 8.0

Finally gained compensation for a string of runner-up efforts when off the mark over C&D in June. Much better effort since when good third at Pontefract 9 days ago and she should be on the premises again.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/0530/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%17/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 88%8/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%4/07Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%26/07
Projected finish5th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
8
OR 5620/1
Enjoy The Night silks

Chalkstone Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Ardad - Goodnight And Joy (Rip Van Winkle)

Shay Farmer60%0/1−5lbS Spencer
659753
4.0

Hinted at ability in handful of starts for John & Sean Quinn and shaped much better on second start for this yard when third at Beverley 3 weeks ago despite refusing to settle upped in trip. Remains with potential back sprinting.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0625/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%4/06Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%27/07Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%11/06Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%14/07
Projected finish6th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 5766/1
Howzak silks

Foulrice Park Racing Limited

8yo Gelding · 9-10

Sepoy - Alys Love (New Approach)

Billy Garritty60%2/11L Bailey80%
914886
3.0Going 8.0

Responded well to a tongue strap when narrow winner at Newcastle off this mark in February but shaped as if amiss twice before always behind over C&D 2 weeks ago (blindfold removed late).

Class Advantage

29/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par29/124/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par11/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/02 · mark par6/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%29/12Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%11/02Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%15/06Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%22/07
Projected finish7th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 5711/1
Lucius Aurelius silks

John Kelly, John McNeill & Kevin Mowat

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Zoustar - Excelette (Exceed And Excel)

Jack Nicholls60%1/5K A Ryan
010389
4.0

Returned to his best when finally getting off the mark here (5f) in April, but has run poorly on 3 of his next 4 starts.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0422/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par22/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par11/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%7/04Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%29/06Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%15/07
Projected finish8th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend