IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. brighton
  3. race-1

13:30 · Brighton

JenningsBet Over 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap

5f 215yGoing TBCClass 63YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 599/4
Cape Toronada silks

Wedgewood Estates

Cape Toronada

3yo Filly · 9-7

Toronado - It's Complicated (Cape Cross)

William Carson1/5A W Carroll
064214
8.0

Low-mileage 3-y-o who gained breakthrough victory over C&D in June and ran respectably on the back of a 6 lb rise when fourth at Windsor (6f) later that month. No reason why she won't be competitive again.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/1024/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/03 · mark par4/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 215y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 8%4/10Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%4/05Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 70%22/06
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
2
OR 597/2
Havana Jag silks

Mr H James

Havana Jag

3yo Filly · 9-7

Havana Grey - Poppy Jag (Kodiac)

Ashley Lewis70%−3lbJ Gallagher
344423
6.0Going 8.0

Remains a maiden but posted best effort yet when second at Newbury (5f) on penultimate start. Ran to a similar level despite being a little tight for room when third at Yarmouth (6f) since and she's one to consider from the same mark.

Class Advantage

7/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par7/0225/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%7/02Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%12/03Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 86%2/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%23/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 5616/1
Beach Partee silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

Beach Partee

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Lope Y Fernandez - Parsnip (Zebedee)

Tyler HeardS Dixon60%
854644
5.0Class ↓5
Visor

Won 3 times as a juvenile but yet to score as a 3-y-o for current yard, not proving much of a threat on the back of a further ease in weights at Bath 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/0522/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par16/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%4/06Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 63%26/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%15/07
Projected finish3rd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 5818/1
Mister Moet silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

Mister Moet

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Nando Parrado - Champagne Aerial (Night Shift)

Christian Howarth60%−3lbS Dixon60%
210624
5.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Dual winner on the all-weather at Lingfield earlier in the season. Exploits mixed more recently but did run respectably when fourth back on all-weather at Wolverhampton (7f) 2 weeks ago. Needs to back that up back on turf.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par12/0327/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par3/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 215y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%12/03Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%3/04Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%15/07Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%21/07
Projected finish4th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 6118/1
Love Alive silks

Mr J Butler

Love Alive

3yo Filly · 9-9

Havana Grey - Anadolu (Statue Of Liberty)

Alistair Rawlinson60%1/3J Butler
596303
4.0

Got off the mark from a 7 lb higher mark at Wolverhampton (5f) in February and posted one of her better efforts since on debut for new yard when third at Thirsk (6f) 12 days ago. Set plenty to do on that occasion and better showing anticipated here.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/0213/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par25/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par8/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par24/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%28/02Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%25/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%25/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%24/07
Projected finish5th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend