5

Edima

8yo Mare · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Hohneck - Attele · 7f 219y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength13%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/02C?5 @ Vincennes 24/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS24/0456 @ Enghien 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 025/076projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Enghien67th7th0
2026-04-24Vincennes514th13th+1
2026-03-18Vire?0
2026-02-15Vincennes4+2
2026-02-03Vincennes?10th10th0
2025-12-26Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/123/0224/0425/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20255th12/137%64%+0.27
03/02/202610th40/10%31%+0.31
24/04/202614th100/10%13%+0.13
25/07/20267th33/10%40%+0.40