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19:12 · Ellis Park

Race 6 - Allowance

1m 1f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 947/1
Baytown Bruiser silks

Barry King

Baytown Bruiser

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Preservationist - Shes Trickey (Proud Citizen)

Florent Geroux60%2/3Barry King60%
316211
7.0

Class Advantage

28/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/027/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par9/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par31/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%28/02Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%26/06
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Market Fav3
OR 964/5
C Mcgriff silks

August Dawn Farm

C Mcgriff

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Tacitus - Wonder Stone (Super Saver)

Francisco Arrieta60%Robert Medina60%
421621
6.0

Class Advantage

19/11 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a19/1128/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par14/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above14/03 · mark par26/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par23/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par14/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%19/11Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%14/03Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%23/05Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%14/06
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 885/2
Horse Of The Sea silks

Alaricorns

Horse Of The Sea

3yo Colt · 8-6

Classic Empire - White Pine (Tapit)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Colby Williams60%
521442
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par22/1127/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par7/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par26/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%22/11Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%7/02Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 40%15/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%9/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Value2
OR 9511/2
Fountain Run silks

Meah, Anna M , Castle, Charles, Castle, Robin, Noe, Jamie And Turks Head Turf

Fountain Run

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Runhappy - Mercy Ann (Distorted Humor)

D E Sheehy1/3Anna Meah60%
617241
7.0

Class Advantage

28/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par28/1222/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/02 · mark par7/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par11/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par18/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par18/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%28/12Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%7/03Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%14/05Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%18/06
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 8516/1
Indy Road silks

Terry Eoff

Indy Road

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Upstart - Broome (Bellamy Road)

Cristian Torres60%Terry Eoff60%
917631
5.0

Class Advantage

7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a7/0928/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par11/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par7/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par2/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%7/09Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%11/10Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%2/05Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%12/06
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 9633/1
Steel silks

Bernard, L Barrett, And Stephens, Terry L

Steel

3yo Colt · 8-6

Tapit - Snuggs And Kisses (Soto)

Jaime Torres60%William Mott60%
19882
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

28/02 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/024/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%28/02Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%4/04Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 30%2/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%24/05Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%27/06
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 9712/1
House United silks

Jacobson Racing

House United

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Constitution - Blip N' Th Bye (Tale Of Ekati)

Rafael Bejarano0/1David Jacobson
183423
6.0

Class Advantage

8/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/03 · mark par8/0319/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par24/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%8/03Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%24/05Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%28/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%18/07
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend