17:53 · Haydock

Zyn Pacesetter Cup Nursery

5fGoing TBCClass 32YO onlyTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 8233/1
Undercover Affair silks

Mr P D Evans

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Havana Grey - Secret Romance (Sakhee's Secret)

Ryan Kavanagh80%−3lbP D Evans60%
142318
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Second win when seeing off Jaijai in 5f Windsor nursery (5f, good to firm) in July. Flying too high in Group 3 at Glorious Goodwood last week and this much more realistic.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a7/0612/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par29/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 79%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 80%20/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%13/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%29/07
Projected finish1st of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav3
OR 772/1
Casino Star silks

Roger Peel & Mrs E Burke

2yo Colt · 8-12

Cotai Glory - Flying Sparkle (Fast Company)

C Lee70%0/2K R Burke60%
262
6.0Going 8.0

Edged out by last week's Molecomb third Hell of A Spin in 5f Hamilton maiden (good to firm) 4 weeks ago. If that form is viewed literally he's well treated off an opening mark of 77.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0627/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0611/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength30%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%10/06Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%27/06Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%11/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
2
OR 8418/1
Jaijai silks

Mr Arjun Waney

2yo Colt · 9-5

Hello Youmzain - Oh Beautiful (Galileo)

S M Levey70%0/1R Hannon60%
62120
5.0Going 7.0

Speedy sort who made all in a 5f Goodwood maiden (good to firm) in June. Second to Undercover Affair in a 3-runner nursery at Windsor next time. Faded over 6f back at Goodwood last week but should be happier back at the minimum trip.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a9/0527/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%9/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%27/05Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%13/07Pos 16 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 16 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 12%31/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 8820/1
God Given Talent silks

Mr Michael Buckley & Mrs P Shanahan

2yo Colt · 9-9

No Nay Never - Itmusthavebeenlove (Galileo)

Tom Marquand70%0/1W J Haggas
106
4.0Class ↓3

No Nay Never colt who overcame inexperience to make a winning start to his career at Newbury (6f, good). Has come up short in Royal Ascot Group 2 and a listed race back at Newbury (both 6f) for James Ferguson since but could easily resume his progression with sights lowered for top new stable.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/0516/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0617/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 19 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%16/06Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%17/07
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 789/2
Rotelle silks

Bedford House Racing V

2yo Gelding · 8-13

Showcasing - The Wagon Wheel (Acclamation)

Paddy Bradley60%1/2C Fellowes
18
4.0Going 8.0

Beat a subsequent winner with something up his sleeve when making a successful debut at Nottingham (5f) in early-April. Off 4 months (gelded), met trouble at a crucial stage when eighth of 14 at Newcastle (6f) 13 days ago. Worth another chance to show he's capable of better.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0425/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength4%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%8/04Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 46%25/07
Projected finish5th of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
6
OR 8812/1
Dance A Jig silks

Mr J C Smith

2yo Colt · 9-9

Naval Crown - Strictly Dancing (Danehill Dancer)

H Crouch60%0/1R M Beckett60%
220
5.0Class ↓2

Naval Crown colt who finished runner-up over 5f on first 2 outings but was beaten before stamina should have been an issue over 6f in Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. Freshened up ahead of this switch to a nursery.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/031/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0517/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength73%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%28/03Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%1/05Pos 23 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 23 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 8%17/06
Projected finish6th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend