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17:48 · Ellis Park

Race 3 - Claiming

7f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 884/1
Tiffany Twist silks

Carlos Santamaria

Tiffany Twist

8yo Mare · 8-10

Flat Out - Successful Slew (Successful Appeal)

Gabriel Saez0/5Carlos Santamaria60%
534422
6.0Going 9.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/11 · mark par9/1121/12 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par13/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par19/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par14/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%9/11Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%13/02Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%14/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%6/07
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 872/1
Up The Creek silks

D And D Racing, Delta Dawn Stables, Llc, Outchunda Farms, Llc And Sauganash Stable, Ltd

Up The Creek

5yo Mare · 8-12

Upstart - Clearwater (Paynter)

Francisco Arrieta60%1/2Matt Williams60%
443771
6.0

Class Advantage

10/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par10/105/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/11 · mark par20/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par14/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par22/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%10/10Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%20/02Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%22/03Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%10/07
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Value2
OR 9014/1
Gypsan silks

Steve Landers Racing And Bob N Weave Racing, Llc

Gypsan

5yo Mare · 8-10

Khozan - Gypsy Grey (Giant's Causeway)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%0/1Chris Hartman60%
551112
8.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par4/0125/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par13/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par22/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par6/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%4/01Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%13/02Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%6/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav5
OR 836/5
Nilo's Rose silks

Steven Asmussen

Nilo's Rose

4yo Filly · 8-10

Promises Fulfilled - Summer's Indy (Take Charge Indy)

Keith Asmussen60%Steven Asmussen60%
791533
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

26/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1222/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par27/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par8/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par14/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%26/12Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%27/02Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%14/05Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%26/06
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
7
OR 9210/3
Leslie's Mojeaux silks

Harrington, Maury And Harrington, Leslie

Leslie's Mojeaux

3yo Filly · 8-6

Violence - Adeles Empire (Empire Maker)

Axel Concepcion60%W Calhoun
012112
6.0

Class Advantage

12/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/1119/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/0321/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%12/11Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%19/03Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%21/06
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 8311/4
Big Dig silks

Amaty Racing Stables

Big Dig

6yo Mare · 8-10

Mor Spirit - Boston Mine (Mineshaft)

Ben Curtis60%1/1Aaron Shorter60%
215611
8.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

13/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par13/0219/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par8/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%13/02Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 43%19/04Pos 6 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%14/06Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%6/07
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
8
OR 857/1
Progeny silks

Golden Sunset Racing Stable Llc

Progeny

5yo Mare · 8-10

Goldencents - Cabbage Key (A.p. Indy)

Rafael Bejarano0/1Jason Cook60%
034652
5.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0121/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par13/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par21/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%1/01Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%13/03Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%17/07
Projected finish7th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 8633/1
Swiftwind silks

Hovitz, Chuck And Gase, Benjamin

Swiftwind

4yo Filly · 8-10

Complexity - Piney Point (Curlin)

Erik Asmussen60%4/11Steven Asmussen60%
11D882
5.0

Class Advantage

22/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par22/114/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/01 · mark par31/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par21/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par17/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par17/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%22/11Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%31/01Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%14/03Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%17/04
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend