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17:40 · Lingfield

Bay Gardens Handicap

1m 5fStandardClass 63YO plusPOLYTRACKHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 599/4
Halimede silks

Boyden, Flynn, Baxter & Fitzgerald

Halimede

3yo Filly · 9-8

Sea The Moon - Rayna (Selkirk)

L Morris80%1/1Sir Mark Prescott70%Course spec.
9881
5.0

From a useful Aga Khan family and though she offered little across her first 3 runs, she unsurprisingly proved a different proposition upped in trip when readily winning an 8-runner handicap at Catterick (1½m, firm) 4 days ago. Will go on improving and she's very hard to oppose under a penalty.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/051/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0618/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/064/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 75%Dist: 1m 5f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%21/05Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 30%1/06Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 42%18/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%4/08
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 639/1
Shopaholic silks

Mr J Mitchell

Shopaholic

4yo Filly · 10-2

Without Parole - Madison Avenue (Golden Horn)

Jason Watson70%Jack Jones
5792
5.0Class ↓3

Without Parole filly who finished no better than mid-field in maiden/novice events in the spring. Much improved upped significantly in trip for her handicap debut when a clear second in an 11-runner event at Wolverhampton (1¾m) 18 days ago. Respected again.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0419/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/054/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0621/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength89%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 75%Dist: 1m 5f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%28/04Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%19/05Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%4/06Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%21/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
2
OR 6312/1
V Power silks

Frn - Chepstow Club

V Power

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Protectionist - Vagabonde (Acclamation)

Zoe Lewis60%3/8−7lbT Faulkner
613515
6.0
Tongue strap

Benefited from return to further when notching a third 1¾m handicap victory of the year at Wolverhampton 4 weeks ago, the fact he got first run over the next 2 home proving decisive. Ran to a similar level from this higher mark when fifth of 8 in handicap at Kempton (2m) 3 days ago.

Class Advantage

31/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/03 · mark par31/036/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par5/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 1m 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 44%31/03Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%11/05Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%5/08
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 617/2
Darkest Red silks

Inside Track Racing Club

Darkest Red

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Lope Y Fernandez - Accede (Acclamation)

P Cosgrave0/3J R Boyle
762224
6.0

Runner-up for the third successive start when worn down by a stronger stayer at Yarmouth (11.5f, soft) in June. Unable to quicken as well as those who finished ahead of him in an incredibly slowly-run race when fourth of 5 at Epsom (1½m, good to firm) 30 days ago. Can be treated as if still in form.

Class Advantage

15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/0914/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par23/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 5f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%15/09Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%28/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 86%11/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%9/07
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 5512/1
Artavian silks

G E Bassett & P R Chamings

Artavian

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Tasleet - Miss Villefranche (Danehill Dancer)

Joe Leavy60%P R Chamings80%
992736
4.0
1st Tongue Strap +2Visor

Sole win came in 2024 but posted a good third of 11 in handicap at Chepstow (1¼m) in June and shaped as if still in decent form before his stamina ran out when sixth of 9 in handicap (12/1) at this course (2m, all-weather) 33 days ago.

Class Advantage

8/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/098/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par29/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 5f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%8/09Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%29/10Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%15/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%6/07
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 5514/1
Cospicua silks

M & M Franklin

Cospicua

3yo Filly · 8-12

Swiss Spirit - Cushat Law (Montjeu)

George Wood60%J Tate60%
715166
4.0

Dual 1½m winner at Kempton early this year. Failed to deliver off the bridle tried on turf for the first time when sixth of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (11.5f, soft) 58 days ago. Others make more appeal.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0121/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par10/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 1m 5f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%1/01Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%10/02Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%30/04Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%11/06
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 6213/2
Parc Dosne silks

Mrs Angela Stokes

Parc Dosne

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Cloth Of Stars - Edavanna (Wootton Bassett)

K S McHugh60%−7lbM Crawley
645
4.0

Modest form in a pair of 1¼m maidens for Andrew Balding in June but ran below that level having changed hands for 10,000 gns when fifth of 6 in novice at Newmarket (1m, good to firm, 13/2) 22 days ago. Makes handicap debut with improvement needed.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0629/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0617/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 5f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%6/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%29/06Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%17/07
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend