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19:22 · Newmarket

Aspall Handicap

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap3 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 757/2
Lucky Hero silks

Mr Salem Rashid Bin Ghadayer

Lucky Hero

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Lucky Vega - New Terms (New Approach)

Billy Loughnane90%0/1D O'Meara60%
810431
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓3

Improved when winning 1¼m apprentice handicap at Redcar 9 days ago by 5 lengths from Optician. Escapes a penalty for that success and will take plenty of beating if arriving in the same form.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par12/1030/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 22%12/10Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 17 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 17 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 16%23/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%18/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%29/07
Projected finish1st of 3
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav2
OR 752/1
Shimmering Sands silks

Mark Hickling Racing

Shimmering Sands

7yo Gelding · 9-12

Teofilo - Milady (Shamardal)

Oisin Murphy70%M & D Easterby60%
453411
8.0
Tongue strap

Has turned over a new leaf since returning, ending a long losing run at Pontefract (1¼m) in June before following up in emphatic fashion over the same C&D from a 4 lb higher mark later in the month. Up another 8 lb now though as he bids to land the hat-trick against a pair less than half his age.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/084/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par30/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par26/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%16/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 71%30/10Pos 4 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%29/06
Projected finish2nd of 3
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 7510/1
Blue Noon silks

Stall Perlen Ab

Blue Noon

3yo Filly · 9-4

Blue Point - Moon Shaddow (Galileo)

P J Dobbs60%R Hannon60%
443632
6.0Class ↓3

Consistent sort that arrives on the back of 2 placed efforts, taking a slight step forward when 4½ lengths second of 5 to Cyrano De Bergerac at Sandown a fortnight ago.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/091/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 73%22/09Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%14/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%18/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%24/07
Projected finish3rd of 3
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend