19:42 · Ellis Park

Race 7 - Allowance

5f 110yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 945/2
Judicious silks

Waller, Eric M And Waller, Sharon

5yo Mare · 8-10

Constitution - Tenacious Heart (Into Mischief)

Francisco Arrieta60%1/1Philip D Amato60%
5281
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a5/0711/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/0824/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/0712/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%5/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%11/08Pos 8 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 8 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%12/07
Projected finish1st of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 968/1
Sweet Sissone silks

Saints Or Sinners

3yo Filly · 8-6

Twirling Candy - Amazing Shoes (Empire Maker)

Adam Beschizza60%1/2Gregory Foley60%
714
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/01 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/014/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/065/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 45%18/01Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%5/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
3
OR 1017/2
Twirling Claire silks

Lloyd Madison Farms IV LLC

3yo Filly · 8-6

Twirling Candy - Clairenation (Bernstein)

Gerardo CorralesGregory Foley60%
222143
7.0

Class Advantage

15/01 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a15/015/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%15/01Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 90%17/04Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 63%12/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%10/07
Projected finish3rd of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 1017/1
Lady Sybil silks

Haberman, Aaron And Haberman, Victoria

3yo Filly · 8-6

Cairo Prince - Lady Grantham (Yankee Gentleman)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%1/3Jr Thomas Drury,60%
461
6.0

Class Advantage

12/04 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a12/0410/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/0526/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%12/04Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%10/05Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%26/06
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
9
OR 827/2
Wisconsin Gal silks

Ulman, Louis J And Vieser Ii, Walter

4yo Filly · 8-12

Army Mule - Dream Sequence (Forestry)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Phillip Capuano
024521
7.0

Class Advantage

6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par6/0212/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par4/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par28/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par17/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par18/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%6/02Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%4/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%17/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish5th of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
2
OR 939/2
Hot Mash silks

Avalon Racing Stables, Main Line Racing Stable, Green, Jonathan I And Tilted Shamrock Stables

3yo Filly · 8-6

Not This Time - More Oats Please (Smart Strike)

Jaime Torres60%John Servis60%
1260
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a11/0813/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/0918/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par18/044/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%13/09Pos 6 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 55%18/04Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%4/06
Projected finish6th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 855/1
Tizianna silks

Aveen Campion

3yo Filly · 8-6

Beau Liam - Radiant Ruby (Tale Of The Cat)

Mario Gutierrez60%Helen Pitts
542843
5.0

Class Advantage

11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/0931/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par30/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par8/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par6/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%11/09Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%30/11Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%6/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%11/07
Projected finish7th of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
7
OR 9216/1
Omaha Bay silks

Estate Of Jim Gladden

3yo Filly · 8-6

Omaha Beach - Red Hot Tops (Arch)

Cristian Torres60%Ian Wilkes60%
1455
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

28/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/1228/02 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/023/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/0431/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%28/12Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%28/02Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%3/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%31/05
Projected finish8th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
8
OR 8812/1
Briland silks

Gainesway Stable (antony Beck), Bradley Thoroughbreds, Cambron Equine, Llc And Northcutt, Allen

4yo Filly · 8-10

Mckinzie - Bay Harbor (Speightstown)

Ben Curtis60%0/1Brendan Walsh60%
14267
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/0827/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%18/08Pos 4 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 40%27/04Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 67%13/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 17%29/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%10/07
Projected finish9th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend