10
Ever So Much
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Hohneck - Attele · 7f 219y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength65%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |