13
Judge Dredd Sisu
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Hohneck - Attele · 7f 219y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength56%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |