3

Junon Des Roses
7yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Hohneck - Attele · 7f 219y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 7 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vichy | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |