7
Kakou Cayennais
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Hohneck - Attele · 7f 219y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2024 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 19/11/2024 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 12/01/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 23/01/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 31/01/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |