12
Flamenco Fer
5yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-03 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/04/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 03/12/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 77% | -0.11 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |