2
Lodestar
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-04 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-28 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 28/02/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/07/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |