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11

Louisiane Paris

5yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength25%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 26/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 026/09C?C0 @ Amiens 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Laval 26/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/025C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 011/05C?C0 @ Amiens 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 05 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/075projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel51st2nd−1
2026-06-08Amiens?1st1st0
2026-05-11Argentan?2nd2nd0
2026-05-04Meslay Du Maine?2nd2nd0
2026-02-26Laval55th6th−1
2026-02-11Vincennes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0911/0211/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength86%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20254th28/10%73%+0.73
26/11/20253rd16/116%83%+0.68
08/12/20258th20/10%53%+0.53
11/02/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
26/02/20265th11/271%76%+0.05
04/05/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42
11/05/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
08/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
16/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13