3

Lovely Jenilou
5yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 31/10/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |