3

Lovely Jenilou

5yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#12

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 19/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 019/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 014/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 134C0 @ Vincennes 27/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13427/12C?C0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13926/05C?C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 13926/07C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Enghien?7th7th0
2026-07-07La Capelle?5th5th0
2026-05-26Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-04-27Enghien?4th4th0
2025-12-27Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-11-30Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1030/1126/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20253rd14/126%87%+0.60
31/10/202511th18/15%33%+0.28
14/11/20259th18/15%33%+0.28
30/11/20255th66/10%50%+0.50
27/12/20258th16/116%22%+0.06
27/04/20264th50/10%63%+0.63
26/05/20263rd18/15%87%+0.81
07/07/20265th18/15%64%+0.58
26/07/20267th16/116%45%+0.30