6

Luxe D'erable

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 11/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 011/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 08/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 01/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 07/11C?4 @ Saint Brieuc 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 04 @ Enghien 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 023/0544 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Enghien 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/074projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Enghien41st1st0
2026-06-05Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-05-23Enghien49th9th0
2026-04-30Saint Brieuc47th7th0
2025-11-07Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-10-15Cabourg?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0615/1023/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20252nd11/893%94%+0.01
08/07/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
01/08/20255th4/179%73%-0.06
15/10/20253rd28/10%87%+0.87
07/11/20252nd13/266%93%+0.28
30/04/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
23/05/20269th80/10%38%+0.38
05/06/20263rd9/276%86%+0.09
09/07/20261st20/10%100%+1.00