8
Mac Kinley
4yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength62%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 28/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |