1
Mister Lion
5yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Un Mec D'heripre - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength40%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |