5
Ideal Ligneries
8yo Horse · 0-0
Argentan · Criterium De Vitesse De Basse-normandie - Attele - Group 2 · 7f 219y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-23 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Argentan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/02/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/02/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 22/03/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |