10
Rikita Jp
6yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Criterium De Vitesse De Basse-normandie - Attele - Group 2 · 7f 219y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-01 | Angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 11th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 91% | -0.04 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |