1
Lady De Safran
5yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Up And Quick - Attele · 7f 219y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Nantes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 13/12/2025 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 10/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/03/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |