8

Lili Des Ormes
5yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Up And Quick - Attele · 7f 219y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Vincennes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 06/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |