8

Lili Des Ormes

5yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Up And Quick - Attele · 7f 219y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 29/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/08C?C0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 05 @ Vincennes 06/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 06/0155 @ Vincennes 29/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Mauquenchy 12/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/025C0 @ Enghien 24/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 022/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Enghien?8th8th0
2026-05-19Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-04-21Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-03-24Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-02-12Mauquenchy53rd3rd0
2026-01-29Vincennes54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0829/0121/0422/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20253rd12/137%87%+0.50
08/12/20257th14/126%60%+0.34
06/01/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
29/01/20264th10/147%80%+0.33
12/02/20263rd4/179%88%+0.09
24/03/20263rd6/168%86%+0.17
21/04/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
19/05/20266th12/137%58%+0.21
22/07/20268th10/147%46%-0.01