4

Look Des Ecus
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Up And Quick - Attele · 7f 219y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 18/02/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 09/06/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 25/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |