8

Gamin Du Gaultier
10yo Gelding · 9-2
Argentan · Prix Ce Bello Romain - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 16/07/2025 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 13/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 12/06/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |