8

Gamin Du Gaultier

10yo Gelding · 9-2

Argentan · Prix Ce Bello Romain - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 01/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 01/07C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 26/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 026/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 13/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 013/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS12/064C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 04 @ Enghien 25/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS25/074projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Enghien411th10th+1
2026-06-27Enghien?12th12th0
2026-06-12Vincennes411th10th+1
2026-05-26Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-05-13Vincennes?13th13th0
2026-04-21Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0721/0412/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20253rd22/10%83%+0.83
16/07/202513th66/10%20%+0.20
26/07/20252nd10/147%92%+0.45
21/04/20263rd8/158%88%+0.30
13/05/202613th40/10%20%+0.20
26/05/20266th11/142%64%+0.22
12/06/202611th80/10%9%+0.09
27/06/202612th80/10%27%+0.27
25/07/202611th50/10%23%+0.23