9
Katchina For Clara
6yo Mare · 8-11
Argentan · Prix Ce Bello Romain - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength17%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |