1
Kenobi D'herfraie
6yo Gelding · 9-6
Argentan · Prix Ce Bello Romain - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-30 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-15 | Angers | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-05 | Saint Brieuc | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2024 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 02/01/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/04/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 81% | -0.07 |
| 19/05/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | -0.00 |
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 94% | +0.15 |
| 30/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 05/12/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 70% | -0.17 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |