11
Marina De Fael
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Aubrion Du Gers - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
1/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 62% | -0.27 |
| 11/05/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |