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Mascott Du Choquel

4yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Aubrion Du Gers - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Capelle 20/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/06C?C0 @ La Capelle 25/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/07C?C0 @ Chartres 05/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05/04C?5 @ Pontchateau 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04/0655 @ Vichy 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 018/0655 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 010/075projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cabourg51st2nd−1
2026-06-18Vichy53rd4th−1
2026-06-11Laval5−1
2026-06-04Pontchateau55th6th−1
2026-04-05Chartres?6th6th0
2025-07-25La Capelle?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0625/075/044/0618/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20257th28/10%57%+0.57
25/07/20255th11/271%56%-0.15
05/04/20266th25/10%55%+0.55
04/06/20265th7/163%67%+0.04
18/06/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
10/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21