9
Mickey De Crennes
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Aubrion Du Gers - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |