3

Nefert D'alesa

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Just A Gigolo - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#8

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 13/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Reims 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 023/04C?C0 @ Amiens 08/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 08/06C?5 @ Cabourg 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 017/075projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Cabourg54th4th0
2026-06-08Amiens?10th10th0
2026-04-23Reims?5th5th0
2026-04-13Argentan?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0423/048/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20268th33/10%53%+0.53
23/04/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
08/06/202610th7/282%25%-0.57
17/07/20264th28/10%63%+0.63