5
Nelson De Bellande
3yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Just A Gigolo - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#7
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |