8

Norfolk De Tillard
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Just A Gigolo - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |