8

Norfolk De Tillard

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Just A Gigolo - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 027/05C?C0 @ Laval 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 025/06C?5 @ Enghien 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/075C0 @ Enghien 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 026/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Enghien?6th6th0
2026-07-09Enghien53rd3rd0
2026-06-25Laval?4th4th0
2026-05-27Caen?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0525/069/0726/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
25/06/20264th9/153%63%+0.10
09/07/20263rd25/10%83%+0.83
26/07/20266th6/168%44%-0.24