7
Lacinia
5yo Filly · 9-13
Argentan · Prix Capital Mail - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength11%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-06 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-29 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2024 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 26/09/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/11/2024 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/12/2024 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 90% | -0.05 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |