10
Largo De La Besse
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Argentan · Prix Capital Mail - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength40%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-16 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/10/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |