8
Lou Des Couperies
5yo Filly · 9-13
Argentan · Prix Capital Mail - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-19 | Reims | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 02/03/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |