2
Love Et Cash Renka
5yo Gelding · 9-10
Argentan · Prix Capital Mail - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | La Capelle | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 22/12/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |