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10

Cinque Verde

6yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 92

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Produced a big career best under ideal conditions when winning an 11-runner event at Newmarket (6f, good) in May by 6½ lengths. Well held both starts since, although may come on for first run for 2 months at Goodwood last week.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chester 28/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 82 · 6f17y Goo 129 · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 82 par28/063OR 823 @ Goodwood 29/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 83 · 6f Gd 126 · below its mark29/07/2025 · OR 83 par4 @ Newmarket 22/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Goo 138 · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 83 par22/084OR 833 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 85 · 6f3y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 85 par2 @ Newmarket 25/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 85 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 85 par25/092OR 853 @ Wolverhampton 07/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 89 · 6f20y Std 134 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 83 · 6f GF 138 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 83 par1/053OR 831 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 95 · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 95 par3 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 20 · OR 95 · 6f Goo 138 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 95 par28/073OR 95projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Goodwood316th17th−1
2026-05-23Salisbury18th7th+1
2026-05-01Newmarket31st2nd−1
2026-03-07Wolverhampton38th9th−1
2025-09-25Newmarket24th4th0
2025-09-16Yarmouth34th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0616/091/0528/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20252nd10/147%88%+0.40
29/07/202513th12/137%0%-0.37
22/08/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
16/09/20254th12/137%63%+0.26
25/09/20254th18/15%70%+0.65
07/03/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
01/05/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
23/05/20268th18/15%22%+0.17
28/07/202616th40/10%21%+0.21