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3

Fahrenheit Seven

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 100

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Did well upon joining new yard initially, winning back-to-back 5f all-weather handicaps first 2 starts this year. Well beaten in competitive 6f handicaps on turf the last twice though and needs a revival dropped back in trip with headgear refitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Pontefract 08/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 82 · 5f3y Gd 120 · beat its mark08/04/2025 · OR 82 par8/042OR 822 @ Newmarket 16/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 7f Gd 117 · beat its mark16/04/2025 · OR 82 par2 @ Hamilton 05/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 6f6y Goo 125 · beat its mark05/06/2025 · OR 86 par5/062OR 862 @ Ayr 20/09/2025 · Pos 19th of 25 · OR 93 · 6f Sft 126 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 93 par3 @ Newcastle 06/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 92 · 5f Std 132 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 92 par6/023OR 922 @ Southwell 21/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 99 · 4f214y Std 129 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 99 par1 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 103 · 5f Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 103 par27/041OR 1032 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 22nd of 22 · OR 103 · 6f Gd 138 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 103 par2 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 102 · 6f Sta 140 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 102 par27/062OR 102projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Newcastle213th13th0
2026-05-13York222th22th0
2026-04-27Naas17th6th+1
2026-03-21Southwell21st1st0
2026-02-06Newcastle31st2nd−1
2025-09-20Ayr219th19th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0420/0927/0427/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
16/04/20254th14/126%50%+0.24
05/06/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
20/09/202519th11/142%25%-0.17
06/02/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
21/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
27/04/20267th3/184%57%-0.27
13/05/202622nd20/10%0%0.00
27/06/202613th11/142%8%-0.34