7

Gaeli
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 96
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Southwell | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/06/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |