8
Gold Star Hero
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 94
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Goodwood | 2 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 01/08/2026 | 18th | 80/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |