4
Dancing In Paris
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 90
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Haydock | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | York | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Goodwood | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 28/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 95% | +0.53 |
| 11/07/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 42% | -0.44 |
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 06/09/2025 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 21% | -0.55 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |