8
Oneforthegutter
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 86
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Southwell | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Newbury | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/08/2025 | 17th | 25/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 06/09/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/09/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/11/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |