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9

Pole Star

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 7f 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 3 times last season and started 2026 with some good in-frame efforts. Two lesser runs have followed but the return to 2m should help and he has the services of Dylan Browne McMonagle.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Yarmouth 24/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 87 · 1m6f17y Sft 121 · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 87 par24/073OR 872 @ York 23/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 90 · 1m5f188y Goo 132 · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 90 par2 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 90 · 1m6f1y Gd 124 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 90 par6/092OR 902 @ Newmarket 11/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 90 · 2m2f Goo 114 · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 90 par3 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 89 · 2m110y Gd 127 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 89 par17/043OR 892 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 89 · 1m6f GF 121 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 89 · 2m13y Goo 136 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 89 par31/053OR 892 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 88 · 1m5f26y Sft 130 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 88 par2 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m6f GF 121 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 86 par10/072OR 86projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Newmarket29th9th0
2026-06-20Ayr211th11th0
2026-05-31Thirsk35th6th−1
2026-05-03Newmarket23rd3rd0
2026-04-17Newbury34th5th−1
2025-10-11Newmarket213th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0711/1031/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
23/08/20256th17/255%55%-0.01
06/09/20255th11/486%56%-0.30
11/10/202513th10/147%33%-0.14
17/04/20264th15/890%40%-0.50
03/05/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
31/05/20265th10/382%67%-0.16
20/06/202611th12/137%9%-0.28
10/07/20269th11/142%11%-0.31